In Cuba, Hispaniola, and Puerto Rico (among other locations nearby), the terrain is rather mountainous; such heavy rains (15"-20" in some areas) can have disaster written all over 'em as they trigger mudslides and rapid flooding. Tie that with the widespread poverty and poor housing and road qualities and you have a humanitarian crisis.
The water vapor imagery above shows Noel over Cuba and now making its turn to the north, basically, right at Nassau, Bahamas. Miami may get nicked with a few showers, belted clouds and windy conditions, but that will be it. For us here in the Carolinas, nada, zip, zilch.
The forecast track shows what happens when a tropical system runs headlong into a strong cold front (coming through the Carolinas Thursday)...hit a wall, turn right, and zip-tang into the north Atlantic. Interesting to note that the modeling has Noel maintaining tropical storm strength all the way to Newfoundland, where it should make for one nasty weekend for them.
The sharply defined western edge is clearly visible on this variation of water vapor imagery, with the center of circulation where you see the small white dot in the darker blue, to the left side of the cloud deck.
So far this year, we've had 16 tropical depressions, of which 14 have become named storms. Of those 14, only 4 have become hurricanes: Two reached Cat 5 status, and the other two reached only Cat 1 status.
Of course, 'tis Halloween today...and perfectly timed is a photo from my brother of their dynamic duo's first Halloween: Ellen (left) and William (right). I think the picture will speak volumes by itself.
Q1. What is a ghost's favorite fruit?
Q2. What is a ghost's favorite Italian dish?
Q3. What does a ghost call his or her parents?
A3. Mummy and Deady.
Did you hear about the skeleton that went into a bar?
He ordered a Manhattan and a mop.
Happy Halloween Hump Day, Y'all!