A slow-moving monster of a storm system will slowly approach the Tarheel State late today, Thursday, with the low itself tracking just to our northwest. I call this one a 'monster' as over the past 3 days it's generated over 300 LSRs or 'local storm reports'. The majority have been for hail, followed by wind damage, with few overall tornadoes...
...with that said, you'll notice yesterday's activity was a little more centralized around the Arklatex, just in front of the driving low...and that's basically our concern especially in the overnight hours. The closer the low passes to us, the better the coverage of storms, which some are expected to be severe. Hail and winds appear to be the main threat, though more storms have been showing some rotation - can't rule out an isolated tornado.
The problem with this system is its timing...if indeed the worst of the cells build and pass through just before and after midnight, most people are asleep...and most people don't have weather radios...which makes it rather difficult to get warnings and information out, especially for any cell turning tornadic.
On the plus side of the equation, the QPF model above is painting some nice amounts of rainfall...nothing excessive, just good for the land and waterways. Just lowered my mower's wheels yesterday and cut my grass again as it got too high too quickly. Nice to have the rain; just wished it would fall on the weekdays and stay sunny bright for the weekend. Not happening this weekend, as for the 6th consecutive weekend we have more rain and storms forecast...this time it's Sunday.
In fact, Sunday's make-up looks a lot like Thursday in several ways. The possibility for more strong to severe storms appears likely, with a similar timing and surface features. A lot of the U.S. is temporarily caught in a deep troughing pattern, allowing these lows to fire up in the Southwest and gather plenty of Gulf moisture as they slide east-northeast.
I originally was assigned a simultaneous shift tomorrow morning doing live Charlotte weathers and having to tape for the Triad; smartly, Tara is being pulled in on her day off to handle Charlotte while I take my home Triad market live. Not that we want severe weather, but we'll certainly be more adequately prepared for it should the skies continue popping after midnight.
...with that said, you'll notice yesterday's activity was a little more centralized around the Arklatex, just in front of the driving low...and that's basically our concern especially in the overnight hours. The closer the low passes to us, the better the coverage of storms, which some are expected to be severe. Hail and winds appear to be the main threat, though more storms have been showing some rotation - can't rule out an isolated tornado.
The problem with this system is its timing...if indeed the worst of the cells build and pass through just before and after midnight, most people are asleep...and most people don't have weather radios...which makes it rather difficult to get warnings and information out, especially for any cell turning tornadic.
On the plus side of the equation, the QPF model above is painting some nice amounts of rainfall...nothing excessive, just good for the land and waterways. Just lowered my mower's wheels yesterday and cut my grass again as it got too high too quickly. Nice to have the rain; just wished it would fall on the weekdays and stay sunny bright for the weekend. Not happening this weekend, as for the 6th consecutive weekend we have more rain and storms forecast...this time it's Sunday.
In fact, Sunday's make-up looks a lot like Thursday in several ways. The possibility for more strong to severe storms appears likely, with a similar timing and surface features. A lot of the U.S. is temporarily caught in a deep troughing pattern, allowing these lows to fire up in the Southwest and gather plenty of Gulf moisture as they slide east-northeast.I originally was assigned a simultaneous shift tomorrow morning doing live Charlotte weathers and having to tape for the Triad; smartly, Tara is being pulled in on her day off to handle Charlotte while I take my home Triad market live. Not that we want severe weather, but we'll certainly be more adequately prepared for it should the skies continue popping after midnight.
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